Impact Analysis of Covid-19
The complete version of the Report will include the impact of the COVID-19, and anticipated change on the future outlook of the industry, by taking into the account the political, economic, social, and technological parameters.
As one of the world's leading dairy producing nations, dairy products occupy a prominent role in New Zealanders' diets, owing to ample access to local supply. This has resulted in New Zealand having the third highest per capita consumption of fresh white milk in the world. The COVID-19 pandemic had a profound impact on retail sales of dairy products and alternatives, with demand spiking due to government-imposed lockdowns over 2020 and 2021. Meanwhile, the delayed border reopening further compou...
Euromonitor International's Dairy Products and Alternatives in New Zealand report offers in-depth knowledge of the market at a national level, providing local insight and understanding unavailable elsewhere. In addition to the latest retail sales data 2017-2021, it identifies the leading companies, brands and retail outlets, and assesses the key trends and demographic shifts behind consumer demand and sales growth. How key trends such as health and wellness, sustainability and recovery from the pandemic are shaping the market in <|Year|> directly informs our forecasts to 2026, clearly indicating how the market is expected to change.
Product coverage: Baby Food, Dairy, Plant-based Dairy.
Data coverage: market sizes (historic and forecasts), company shares, brand shares and distribution data.
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* Get a detailed picture of the Dairy Products and Alternatives market;
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Dairy Products and Alternatives in New Zealand
Euromonitor International
September 2022
List Of Contents And Tables
DAIRY PRODUCTS AND ALTERNATIVES IN NEW ZEALAND
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Dairy products and alternatives in 2022: The big picture
Rising inflation drives value growth, but may hurt growth prospects moving forward
Competitive landscape
Channel developments
Conscious consumerism expected to lead to weak volume sales growth
CHART 1 Dairy Products and Alternatives Value Sales Growth Scenarios: 2020-2027
CHART 2 Dairy Products and Alternatives Impact of Drivers on Value Sales: 2020-2027
MARKET DATA
Table 1 Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 2 Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 3 NBO Company Shares of Dairy Products and Alternatives: % Value 2018-2022
Table 4 LBN Brand Shares of Dairy Products and Alternatives: % Value 2019-2022
Table 5 Penetration of Private Label by Category: % Value 2017-2022
Table 6 Distribution of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 7 Forecast Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 8 Forecast Sales of Dairy Products and Alternatives by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
DISCLAIMER
SOURCES
Summary 1 Research Sources
BABY FOOD IN NEW ZEALAND
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2022 DEVELOPMENTS
Gradual border reopening supports rebound in the daigou channel
Inflationary pressures drive unit price and value growth
Growth in working from home eases the pressure for time-poor parents
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
Declining birth rate highlights the importance of recovery of daigou channel
Health and wellness trend likely to lead to an increased focus on sugar content in baby food
Interest in new types of formulae expected to grow
CATEGORY DATA
Table 9 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 10 Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 11 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 12 Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 13 Sales of Growing-Up Milk Formula by Age: % Value 2017-2022
Table 14 NBO Company Shares of Baby Food: % Value 2018-2022
Table 15 LBN Brand Shares of Baby Food: % Value 2019-2022
Table 16 Distribution of Baby Food by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 17 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 18 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 19 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 20 Forecast Sales of Baby Food by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
BUTTER AND SPREADS IN NEW ZEALAND
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2022 DEVELOPMENTS
Butter becomes a key battleground product as The Warehouse moves further into groceries
Inflationary pressures drive unit price growth and value sales
Lewis Road launches premium butter at a discounted rate for New Zealanders
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
Recovery expected for foodservice early in the forecast period
Conscious consumerism expected to affect purchasing decisions
Despite cost-of-living pressures, opportunities exist for premium butter
CATEGORY DATA
Table 21 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 22 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 23 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 24 Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 25 NBO Company Shares of Butter and Spreads: % Value 2018-2022
Table 26 LBN Brand Shares of Butter and Spreads: % Value 2019-2022
Table 27 Distribution of Butter and Spreads by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 28 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 29 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 30 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 31 Forecast Sales of Butter and Spreads by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
CHEESE IN NEW ZEALAND
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2022 DEVELOPMENTS
Rising inflation drives value growth and limits the volume performance
Fonterra maintains its lead, but cost-of-living pressures make private label more appealing
Bounce back for foodservice taking longer than expected
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
Extended period of recovery expected for foodservice sales of cheese
Opportunities for artisanal brands to leverage the premiumisation trend
Cheese likely to be impacted by conscious consumerism
CATEGORY DATA
Table 32 Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 33 Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 34 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 35 Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 36 Sales of Spreadable Processed Cheese by Type: % Value 2017-2022
Table 37 Sales of Soft Cheese by Type: % Value 2017-2022
Table 38 Sales of Hard Cheese by Type: % Value 2017-2022
Table 39 NBO Company Shares of Cheese: % Value 2018-2022
Table 40 LBN Brand Shares of Cheese: % Value 2019-2022
Table 41 Distribution of Cheese by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 42 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 43 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 44 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 45 Forecast Sales of Cheese by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
DRINKING MILK PRODUCTS IN NEW ZEALAND
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2022 DEVELOPMENTS
Rising inflation drives price rises and value growth for milk
New Zealand's recyclable bottle hits South Island shelves
Lewis Road Creamery continues to drive innovation in flavoured milk drinks
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
Strong growth expected to continue for flavoured milk drinks
Weak retail volume growth expected as conscious consumerism rises
Cost-of-living pressures expected to see consumers trade down to private label
CATEGORY DATA
Table 46 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 47 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 48 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 49 Sales of Drinking Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 50 NBO Company Shares of Drinking Milk Products: % Value 2018-2022
Table 51 LBN Brand Shares of Drinking Milk Products: % Value 2019-2022
Table 52 Distribution of Drinking Milk Products by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 53 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 54 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 55 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 56 Forecast Sales of Drinking Milk Products Products by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
YOGHURT AND SOUR MILK PRODUCTS IN NEW ZEALAND
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2022 DEVELOPMENTS
Limited volume growth, but strong value growth is driven by rising prices
Goodman Fielder continues to lead yoghurt
Foodservice rebounds, but recovery takes longer than expected
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
Flavoured yoghurt will continue to dominate retail sales
Slowing of growth for foodservice as pre-pandemic sales reached
Conscious consumerism expected to contribute to weak volume growth
CATEGORY DATA
Table 57 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 58 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 59 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 60 Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 61 Sales of Flavoured Yoghurt by Flavour: Rankings 2017-2022
Table 62 NBO Company Shares of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products: % Value 2018-2022
Table 63 LBN Brand Shares of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products: % Value 2019-2022
Table 64 Distribution of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 65 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 66 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 67 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 68 Forecast Sales of Yoghurt and Sour Milk Products by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
OTHER DAIRY IN NEW ZEALAND
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2022 DEVELOPMENTS
Whilst volume growth is limited, rising inflation drives strong value growth
Foodservice rebounds to some extent, but recovery takes longer than expected
Growth in private label driven by cost-of-living pressures
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
Sustainability focus from consumers likely to dampen growth prospects of cream
Lack of dynamism in other dairy expected to lead to weak growth
Recovery of foodservice set to be slow
CATEGORY DATA
Table 69 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 70 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 71 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 72 Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 73 Sales of Cream by Type: % Value 2017-2022
Table 74 NBO Company Shares of Other Dairy: % Value 2018-2022
Table 75 LBN Brand Shares of Other Dairy: % Value 2019-2022
Table 76 Distribution of Other Dairy by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 77 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 78 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 79 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 80 Forecast Sales of Other Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
PLANT-BASED DAIRY IN NEW ZEALAND
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2022 DEVELOPMENTS
Conscious consumerism drives growth for plant-based dairy
From café origins, oat milk establishes itself on supermarket shelves
Plant-based milk factory proposed for Invercargill
PROSPECTS AND OPPORTUNITIES
Local production expected to support strong growth of oat milk
Cost-of-living pressures offer opportunities for plant-based dairy
Innovation expected to drive growth for other plant-based milk
CATEGORY DATA
Table 81 Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: Volume 2017-2022
Table 82 Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: Value 2017-2022
Table 83 Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2017-2022
Table 84 Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2017-2022
Table 85 Sales of Other Plant-Based Milk by Type: % Value 2019-2022
Table 86 NBO Company Shares of Plant-Based Dairy: % Value 2018-2022
Table 87 LBN Brand Shares of Plant-Based Dairy: % Value 2019-2022
Table 88 Distribution of Plant-Based Dairy by Format: % Value 2017-2022
Table 89 Forecast Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: Volume 2022-2027
Table 90 Forecast Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: Value 2022-2027
Table 91 Forecast Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: % Volume Growth 2022-2027
Table 92 Forecast Sales of Plant-Based Dairy by Category: % Value Growth 2022-2027
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