Retailing in Kazakhstan

Retailing in Kazakhstan
Euromonitor International
February 2021

List OF CONTENTS AND TABLES

EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
COVID-19 impact on retailing
COVID-19 country impact
Continued optimisation of selling space
E-commerce players also focus on improving customer experience
What next for retailing?
OPERATING ENVIRONMENT
Informal retailing
Opening hours
Summary 1 Standard Opening Hours by Channel Type 2018
Physical retail landscape
Cash and carry
Seasonality
Payments and delivery
Emerging business models
MARKET DATA
Table 1 Sales in Retailing by Store-based vs Non-Store: Value 2015-2020
Table 2 Sales in Retailing by Store-based vs Non-Store: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 3 Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Channel: Value 2015-2020
Table 4 Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Channel: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 5 Store-Based Retailing Outlets by Channel: Units 2015-2020
Table 6 Store-Based Retailing Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2015-2020
Table 7 Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Channel: Value 2015-2020
Table 8 Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Channel: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 9 Non-Grocery Specialists: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2015-2020
Table 10 Non-Grocery Specialists: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2015-2020
Table 11 Sales in Non-Grocery Specialists by Channel: Value 2015-2020
Table 12 Sales in Non-Grocery Specialists by Channel: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 13 Non-Grocery Specialists Outlets by Channel: Units 2015-2020
Table 14 Non-Grocery Specialists Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2015-2020
Table 15 Retailing GBO Company Shares: % Value 2016-2020
Table 16 Retailing GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2017-2020
Table 17 Store-based Retailing GBO Company Shares: % Value 2016-2020
Table 18 Store-based Retailing GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2017-2020
Table 19 Store-based Retailing LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2017-2020
Table 20 Non-Store Retailing GBO Company Shares: % Value 2016-2020
Table 21 Non-Store Retailing GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2017-2020
Table 22 Non-Grocery Specialists GBO Company Shares: % Value 2016-2020
Table 23 Non-Grocery Specialists GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2017-2020
Table 24 Non-Grocery Specialists LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2017-2020
Table 25 Non-Grocery Specialists LBN Brand Shares: Selling Space 2017-2020
Table 26 Forecast Sales in Retailing by Store-based vs Non-Store: Value 2020-2025
Table 27 Forecast Sales in Retailing by Store-based vs Non-Store: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 28 Forecast Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Channel: Value 2020-2025
Table 29 Forecast Sales in Store-Based Retailing by Channel: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 30 Forecast Store-Based Retailing Outlets by Channel: Units 2020-2025
Table 31 Forecast Store-Based Retailing Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2020-2025
Table 32 Forecast Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Channel: Value 2020-2025
Table 33 Forecast Sales in Non-Store Retailing by Channel: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 34 Non-Grocery Specialists Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2020-2025
Table 35 Non-Grocery Specialists Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2020-2025
Table 36 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Specialists by Channel: Value 2020-2025
Table 37 Forecast Sales in Non-Grocery Specialists by Channel: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 38 Forecast Non-Grocery Specialists Outlets by Channel: Units 2020-2025
Table 39 Forecast Non-Grocery Specialists Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2020-2025
DISCLAIMER
GLOBAL MACROECONOMIC ENVIRONMENT
GLOBAL INDUSTRY ENVIRONMENT
SOURCES
Summary 2 Research Sources
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2020 IMPACT
Convenience stores in local neighbourhoods perform
Large local players target all groups of consumers to maximise profit potential
New kid on the block in 2020
RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES
Consumers will be increasingly price sensitive over forecast period
Logistical challenges hamper expansion to regions
Smaller shopping formats gain momentum thanks to increased need for convenience
CHANNEL DATA
Table 40 Modern Grocery Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2015-2020
Table 41 Modern Grocery Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2015-2020
Table 42 Sales in Modern Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2015-2020
Table 43 Sales in Modern Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 44 Modern Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2015-2020
Table 45 Modern Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2015-2020
Table 46 Modern Grocery Retailers GBO Company Shares: % Value 2016-2020
Table 47 Modern Grocery Retailers GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2017-2020
Table 48 Modern Grocery Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2017-2020
Table 49 Modern Grocery Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Selling Space 2017-2020
Table 50 Modern Grocery Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2020-2025
Table 51 Modern Grocery Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2020-2025
Table 52 Forecast Sales in Modern Grocery Retailers by Channel: Value 2020-2025
Table 53 Forecast Sales in Modern Grocery Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 54 Forecast Modern Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2020-2025
Table 55 Forecast Modern Grocery Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2020-2025
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2020 IMPACT
Government tries to stop tax evasion but for the most part fails
Small scale of operation leads to fragmented and volatile competitive environment
Chained specialist retailers are most active and largest players in traditional grocery retailers
RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES
Discounters could pose threat to traditional grocery over forecast period
Traditional grocery retailers lose share to modern retail
Traditional grocery retailers face decline due to inefficiency of operations
CHANNEL DATA
Table 56 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2015-2020
Table 57 Traditional Grocery Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2015-2020
Table 58 Traditional Grocery Retailers GBO Company Shares: % Value 2016-2020
Table 59 Traditional Grocery Retailers GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2017-2020
Table 60 Traditional Grocery Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2017-2020
Table 61 Traditional Grocery Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Selling Space 2017-2020
Table 62 Traditional Grocery Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2020-2025
Table 63 Traditional Grocery Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2020-2025
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2020 IMPACT
Little demand for updating wardrobes as people spend a lot of time at home
Economy and mid-priced brands gain momentum in light of increased price sensitivity of Kazakhstani consumers
Apparel and footwear specialist retailers go omnichannel to maximise potential
RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES
Consumers update their wardrobe, once they can move around again
Customer service and choice of products increase in importance with growing competition in the channel
Trends for healthy lifestyles and eco-thinking shape customers' preferences
CHANNEL DATA
Table 64 Apparel And Footwear Specialist Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2015-2020
Table 65 Apparel And Footwear Specialist Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2015-2020
Table 66 Apparel And Footwear Specialist Retailers GBO Company Shares: % Value 2016-2020
Table 67 Apparel And Footwear Specialist Retailers GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2017-2020
Table 68 Apparel And Footwear Specialist Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2017-2020
Table 69 Apparel And Footwear Specialist Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Selling Space 2017-2020
Table 70 Apparel And Footwear Specialist Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2020-2025
Table 71 Apparel And Footwear Specialist Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2020-2025
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2020 IMPACT
Chemist/pharmacies perform well, but beauty specialists register decline
Product offer and customer experience gain high importance in light of growing competition
Players expand to e-commerce to maximise potential
RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES
More working from home will dampen value sales of beauty products over forecast period
Emerging trends including eco-friendly products, as well offering cosmetic procedures through beauty specialist retailers
Increased consumer awareness of beauty products drives channel growth
CHANNEL DATA
Table 72 Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2015-2020
Table 73 Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2015-2020
Table 74 Sales in Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers by Channel: Value 2015-2020
Table 75 Sales in Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 76 Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers GBO Company Shares: % Value 2016-2020
Table 77 Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2017-2020
Table 78 Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2017-2020
Table 79 Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Selling Space 2017-2020
Table 80 Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2020-2025
Table 81 Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2020-2025
Table 82 Forecast Sales in Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers by Channel: Value 2020-2025
Table 83 Forecast Sales in Health and Beauty Specialist Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2020-2025
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2020 IMPACT
Steep value decline as consumers increasingly price sensitive
Viled Fashion TOO represents department stores with unique offer of luxury brands
Variety stores expand to smaller towns and regions
RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES
Lower value growth than prior to COVID-19, as price sensitivity hits channels such as department stores
Return of foreign visitors will underpin value growth in department stores
Overall price sensitivity of population benefits variety stores
CHANNEL DATA
Table 84 Mixed Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2015-2020
Table 85 Mixed Retailers: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2015-2020
Table 86 Sales in Mixed Retailers by Channel: Value 2015-2020
Table 87 Sales in Mixed Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 88 Mixed Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2015-2020
Table 89 Mixed Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2015-2020
Table 90 Mixed Retailers GBO Company Shares: % Value 2016-2020
Table 91 Mixed Retailers GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2017-2020
Table 92 Mixed Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Outlets 2017-2020
Table 93 Mixed Retailers LBN Brand Shares: Selling Space 2017-2020
Table 94 Mixed Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space 2020-2025
Table 95 Mixed Retailers Forecasts: Value Sales, Outlets and Selling Space: % Growth 2020-2025
Table 96 Forecast Sales in Mixed Retailers by Channel: Value 2020-2025
Table 97 Forecast Sales in Mixed Retailers by Channel: % Value Growth 2020-2025
Table 98 Forecast Mixed Retailers Outlets by Channel: Units 2020-2025
Table 99 Forecast Mixed Retailers Outlets by Channel: % Unit Growth 2020-2025
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2020 IMPACT
Social distancing measures curtails direct selling in 2020
Avon applies technologies to give company new lease of life
Large international companies dominate the channel
RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES
Value growth will return once COVID-19 infection rates start to fall
Direct selling will see modest growth in line with overall economic development
Direct sellers adopt new marketing tools to withstand growing competition
CHANNEL DATA
Table 100 Direct Selling by Category: Value 2015-2020
Table 101 Direct Selling by Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 102 Direct Selling GBO Company Shares: % Value 2016-2020
Table 103 Direct Selling GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2017-2020
Table 104 Direct Selling Forecasts by Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 105 Direct Selling Forecasts by Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
KEY DATA FINDINGS
2020 IMPACT
Huge boost in e-commerce, due to people shifting to online shopping in order to prevent exposure to COVID-19
Kaspi Magazin TOO continues to win value share
E-commerce develops to cover wider audience and broader product range
RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES
Healthy value growth trajectory over the forecast period
E-commerce players focus on online customer experience
Foreign internet retailers have good prospects in Kazakhstan
CHANNEL DATA
Table 106 E-Commerce by Channel and Category: Value 2015-2020
Table 107 E-Commerce by Channel and Category: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 108 E-Commerce GBO Company Shares: % Value 2016-2020
Table 109 E-Commerce GBN Brand Shares: % Value 2017-2020
Table 110 Forecast E-Commerce by Channel and Category: Value 2020-2025
Table 111 Forecast E-Commerce by Channel and Category: % Value Growth 2020-2025
EY DATA FINDINGS
2020 IMPACT
As consumers avoid brick-and mortar stores, mobile e-commerce registers huge surge
Share of mobile e-commerce set to grow
Mobile apps as tools for competing
RECOVERY AND OPPORTUNITIES
Double-digit value growth over forecast period
Mobile e-commerce players focus on customer experience
International competition pushes local companies to improve service
CHANNEL DATA
Table 112 Mobile E-Commerce: Value 2015-2020
Table 113 Mobile E-Commerce: % Value Growth 2015-2020
Table 114 Mobile E-Commerce Forecasts: Value 2020-2025
Table 115 Mobile E-Commerce Forecasts: % Value Growth 2020-2025